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NASCAR driver betting odds to win 2015 Irwin Tools Night Race in Bristol

I don’t get all the favoritism for Kevin Harvick as he has only won two races this season and both were back in March at Las Vegas and Phoenix. Matt Kenseth – 6 to 1

Denny Hamlin won at Martinsville in March and he won the NASCAR All-Star Race in May for two wins in 2015. Kasey Kahne – 30 to 1

Kurt Busch has wins in 2015 at Richmond and Michigan. Kyle Larson has yet to win a Sprint Cup race in 62 starts so he has obviously never won over the track.

T-6. He’s probably due to win a race real soon and to me he’s a better bet this week than Kevin Harvick is at 6 to 1 odds.

T-1. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. For his career, Kurt Busch has 27 wins in 527 NASCAR Sprint Cup starts.

T-6. Truex, Jr. Jeff Gordon, Kyle Larson – 18 to 1 odds each

T-18. Hamlin won this race in 2012, for his only win over the Bristol track. Many of these drivers have yet to win the race and most of the others are very infrequent winners. has yet to win a Sprint Cup race so far in his career at Bristol. Kenseth just won last week at Michigan pretty easily for his second win in three weeks (he won a Pocono August 2) and third win on the season. For his career, Kevin Harvick has won 30 races in 525 starts.

Brad Keselowski has one win this season which came at California in March. Clint Bowyer has won eight times in 348 starts and he has not won a race since 2012. won at Pocono back in June for his only win so far in the 2015 NASCAR season. Tony Stewart – 60 to 1

For the umpteenth time this year, Kevin Harvick is favored to win a NASCAR Sprint Cup race as he’s co-favored to win the 2015 Irwin Tools Night Race this week at odds of 6 to 1. At least Danica Patrick is hot.

Field of all other drivers – 100 to 1 odds

T-11. Clint Bowyer, Jamie McMurray – 40 to 1

While I don’t understand Kevin Harvick’s odds this week, I do get why Matt Kenseth is co-favored at odds of 6 to 1. has wins this season at Talladega and Daytona. Martin Truex, Jr. Jimmie Johnson – 10 to 1

Carl Edwards lone win so far in 2015 came at Charlotte in May. Keselowski won this race in 2011 and he has two NASCAR Sprint Cup wins over the track (his other win was in 2012). For his career, Brad Keselowski has 17 wins in 220 starts.

Both Clint Bowyer and Jamie McMurray at 40 to 1 odds each this week are looking for their first wins in 2015. A.J. For his career, Kasey Kahne has won 17 races in 419 Sprint Cup starts(www.thai-m88.com).

T-6. Junior won this race in 2004 for his only win over the track. Carl Edwards has two wins in this race (2007, 2008) and three total wins over the track (2014). – 20 to 1

Kasey Kahne has yet to win a NASCAR Sprint Cup race in the 2015 season. For his NASCAR Sprint Cup career, Dale Earnhardt, Jr. For his career, Joey Logano has 10 wins in 242 starts.

In addition to listing the m88a betting win odds for each driver this week, I’m also listing how many times each driver has won this season, how many times each driver has won this race and how many times each driver has won at Bristol in Sprint Cup races. Brad Keselowski – 7 to 1

None of these drivers at 100 to 1 odds each this week has won a race yet in 2015, though, Greg Biffle did win the Sprint Showdown. Allmendinger, Aric Almirola, Austin Dillon, Casey Mears, Danica Patrick, David Ragan, Greg Biffle, Paul Menard, Ricky Stenhouse, Ryan Blaney, Ryan Newman, Trevor Bayne – 100 to 1 odds

Both Jeff Gordon and Kyle Larson are win less on the 2015 season. Kurt Busch has one win in this race (2003) and he’s won over the track five times (2002-04, 2006) but his last win here was in 2006. I’ve also listed the career stats for many of the drivers this week. Kahne is also win less in this race but he did win a race over the Bristol track in 2013. Another tough bet this week. Joey Logano – 7 to 1. – 15 to 1

T-1. Kevin Harvick – 6 to 1 odds

Kyle Busch’s 6 to 1 odds this week also make sense. Gordon is in his last full season in NASCAR in 2015. His first win this season was at the spring race at Bristol. McMurray has won seven times in 461 starts and he has not won since 2013.

Martin Truex, Jr. Good luck to all the NASCAR drivers and especially the bettors this week at the 2015 Irwin Tools Night Race at Bristol!

T-4. Stewart won this race back in 2001 for his only win at Bristol. Kenseth has won this race three times (2005, 2006, 2013) and he’s won over the track four times, so he’s co-favored for a reason to try and sweep the races at Bristol in 2015.

10. Kurt Busch – 10 to 1

Tony Stewart has yet to win a race in the 2015 season. He has only won this race once (2002) but he does have five total wins over the Bristol track. Jimmie Johnson has yet to win this race and he has just one win (2010) over the track but it’s been 10 races now since he has won and he’s 10 to 1 odds this week. has won 25 races in 564 starts.

14. Tony Stewart has won 48 times in 577 starts in his career, and he has not won a race since 2013.

The 2015 Irwin Tools Night Race NASCAR Sprint Cup race is taking place this week on Saturday, August 22, 2015, at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee, with a start time of 7:30 pm EDT. For his NASCAR Sprint Cup career, Denny Hamlin has 25 wins in 349 starts.

9. Kyle Busch – 6 to 1

13. Jeff Gordon’s last win at Bristol, though, was in 2002. Harvick has never won this race but he did win over the track back in 2005. For his career, Carl Edwards has won 24 NASCAR Sprint Cup races in 396 starts.

Jimmie Johnson has four wins in 2015 at Atlanta, Texas, Kansas City and Dover. Neither driver has ever won at Bristol so both are risky bets this week even at high odds. For his career, Martin Truex, Jr. Carl Edwards – 10 to 1

T-1. Kyle Busch also has two wins in this race (2009, 2010) and five Sprint Cup wins over the Bristol track (he also won the spring race in 2007, 2009, 2011).

Dale Earnhardt, Jr. He won at Watkins Glen a couple of weeks ago, and he also won the Daytona 500 back in February. has won three races in 356 starts.

T-4. Kyle Busch has four wins this season at Sonoma, Kentucky, New Hampshire, and The Brickyard, and all four wins have come over the last two months. Denny Hamlin – 12 to 1

Joey Logano has two wins in 2015. Here is a list of the betting odds for the NASCAR drivers to win the 2015 Irwin Tools Night Race this week at Bristol.

17. T-15. Joey Logano is also the defending champion in the Irwin Tools Night Race as he won the race last year in 2014. None of them have ever won a NASCAR Sprint Cup race at the Bristol track either

Featured

How To Win At Sports Betting

Please see www.hhht888.com for the latest winning tips and strategies.

 

This article was posted on December 08, 2005

<< Back to “Recreation And Sports” Index

About The Author

How To Win At Sports Betting

by: Ellison Mansfield

 

If you’ve read any of my articles before, you know I always emphasize the fact that there are many viable systems for any type of gambling. Until next time, please bet responsibly, and continue to educate yourself to master your skills and gain the edge over the casino, the bookie, or whoever you’re playing m88a against!

Ellison Mansfield

A point can be anything, 1 or 2 etc. The three numbers I gave you have proved themselves to be quite consistent at attracting the score of 1-1 (One all). . Sports betting is no exclusion. For this example we will choose number 32. After holding onto these secrets and amassing a private fortune over the past 16 years, he finally decided it was time to come out and share some of his knowledge with the world. Yes it’s true: Ellison Mansfield has made a career out of gambling. The following is recommended;

- Weeks 1 to 5 use a 1 point stake.

- Weeks 6 to 8 use a 2 point stake. This would win us back 11 points at odds of 11/2, plus our 2 points stake, making 13 points. Here is just one simple system for you to test for yourself…

As you can see, this system played consistently over the long term can bring you regular winnings. If we assume that we have a win on week 6 we would have placed a 2 points bet here. During the previous 5 weeks we lost 5 lots of 1 points, so all in all weve made 8 points profit.

With this bet you will need to increase your stake after a few weeks if you havent won by then.

- Weeks 9 to 10 use a 3 point stake.

- Week 11 – 4 points

- Week 12 – 5 points

- Week 13 – 6 points

- Week 14 – 7 points

- Week 15 – 8 points

- Week 16 – 10 points

- Week 17 – 12 points and so on….

Take your fixed odds coupon and decide on one of the following three numbers – 13 – 32 – 38. He’s flown under the radar for virtually his entire adult life, beating the casinos and stockpiling his winnings. I’ve tested and found success with several sports betting systems (see http://www.insidersystem.com/sports.html), several of which would allow someone to quit their job and make a full time living at it. Once you have made your choice place the score of 1-1 in the correct score section next to the teams that are playing at number 32 on the coupon for that week.

We simply back this number every week until we have a win

Featured

Report: Fantasy sports employees used insider info to bet

He said the casino industry sees fantasy fun788 sports as a potential partner “to grow both of our businesses.”

The allegations, which amount to profiting from insider trading, have brought into question the practices of the fantasy sports industry. Macias said the company takes a multilayered approach to check age and identity. The CEO of the ubiquitous DraftKings website made no effort to get cozy as he sat in front of a crowd of casino executives at a trade show last week in Las Vegas.

The debate comes as the websites have flooded the airwaves with commercials in recent months touting how average fans became overnight millionaires by playing daily fantasy leagues. The NFL agrees with their legal stance.

On the question of money laundering, DraftKings referred questions to a statement from the Fantasy Sports Trade Association that said the sites have “instituted monitoring systems to identify and prevent fraudulent or suspicious transactions.”

An employee with one of the companies, DraftKings, admitted last week to inadvertently releasing data before the start of the third week of N.F.L. He said his industry is much more likely to attract customers who play chess and the stock market than people who make bets at sports books.

The legal stance by Jason Robins of DraftKings that daily fantasy sports leagues are not a chance-based gamble has done nothing to tamp down what has become an intensifying national debate around the country.

The debate was a hot topic of conversation at the Global Gaming Expo in Las Vegas.

Signing up for a DraftKings account involves choosing a username, providing an email address, clicking a box that says the person is older than 18 or 19, depending on the state, and providing credit card information. Daily fantasy sports allows online players to pick a roster of point-earning players from various teams for a single day of competition and win money, in some cases $1 million.

Many in the highly regulated casino industry insist daily fantasy sports leagues are gambling sites, shouldn’t be treated any differently than traditional sports betting and, as a result, should be regulated. “A rose is a rose.”

“This screams and cries out for regulation,” said sports betting law expert Dan Wallach during a different panel at the gambling conference, who suggested it could be a haven for money laundering.

draft-1.jpg

A screen grab from the Draft Kings fantasy sports web site www.fun88no1.com.

Observers, though, believe that after spending hundreds of millions of dollars on advertising during football games, the spotlight on the daily fantasy sports industry may ultimately lead lawmakers and regulators to keep a closer watch.

Robins said fewer than 15 percent of the people using his site bet on sports the traditional way, either legally or illegally.

The daily fantasy sports industry has gone to great lengths to distance itself from traditional sports wagering. “It isn’t that different from the stock market.”

Two major fantasy sports companies are under fire over allegations that amount to insider trading, the New York Times reported Monday night.

Robins, though, implied there should be no confusing his operation for a casino’s. The midlevel content manager later won $350,000 at rival site FanDuel that same week, the Times reported.

“Fantasy is real gambling,” said Dennis Drazin, chairman of New Jersey’s Monmouth Park Racetrack, during a panel discussion. DraftKings spokeswoman Sabrina Macias said later that the number is based on internal research.. No other identification is sought.

He didn’t say where that number came from and didn’t take questions after the moderated panel discussion to clarify, walking quickly out a side door as reporters asked questions.

Meanwhile, a New Jersey congressman has asked for a hearing on the legal status of daily fantasy sports, the commissioner of the NCAA’s Southeastern Conference has barred daily fantasy site ads on the SEC Network, and the casino industry’s American Gaming Association is looking into the industry as part of a broader look at legalizing sports betting beyond a few states.

“It’s really the same type of person who, on the game side, likes chess,” Robins said.

Robins cites an exemption in a 2006 federal law for fantasy sports that he believes allow his site and others including FanDuel to offer contests that normally spanned an entire season down to a single day. games. Others suggest the sites could be a potential haven for money-laundering.

“If it’s gray, our job is to make it black and white,” said Geoff Freeman, the association’s president and CEO

Poker Video Blogs Videos | PokerTube

Women who say men cant multi task havent tried dating a poker player yet. I managed to film, edit and produce the video in a week, whilst grinding insane volume. I decided to film the events to make a cool video to add to my living my dream episodes I have been making. Featuring team pro acoimbra.

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From $100 to $100K playing poker tournaments on Pokerstars. Iveys replacement perhaps?

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While at Parx Casino for WPT Parx Open Poker Classic, Mike, Vince and the Royal Flush Girls headed out to the horse races to try their hand at a little horse betting.

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Horse Racing Systems: 5 That Work

The horse with the best combination of the two is the play.

Second, the very nature of the parimutuel system itself means that any profits to be made from following a particular set of rules will quickly be arbitraged away as the followers of that system drive down the odds of horses chosen by the system.

Nunamaker reported that the inside post in dirt route races won at a 20% greater than expected rate, and lost only 10 cents on the dollar, much better than the track take. It should go without saying that you should actually like the favorite’s chances after evaluating the race with your own handicapping.

However, just because systems won’t make you rich doesn’t mean there’s no place for them at all in a horseplayer’s arsenal. This is another mistake that bettors make: in a race with a clear standout, many people give up on the win pool and bet their choice to place, thinking that they’ll get paid even if the favorite wins.

For instance, many speed figure handicappers reported making horse racing profits in the 60′s and 70′s simply by betting horses with the best last race speed figure. Because speed figures have gained in popularity over the years, anyone following that system now would have trouble coming up with gas money for the ride home from the track.

The horse with the best last race speed figure (whether Beyer, BRIS, or Equibase) may not be the best horse in the race, but he’s probably not far off, so we can use that as a proxy for selection purposes.

Horse Racing System #5 – Bet Horses breaking from the inside post in route races. With the BRIS pp’s you can use the Sire Production Factor in concert with the pedigree rating. None of them work.

Instead of blindly betting all horses breaking from the inside, you might use this to supplement your handicapping, paying particular attention to the inside horse, and betting it when you like the horse on other handicapping grounds. The inside post in turf routes actually showed a small profit, but this was based on a small sample size and cannot be relied upon. Thanks for reading, and see you in the winner’s circle.

In the first place, the parimutuel takeout in horse racing is large (over 15%) and the mutuel pools are relatively efficient, so that even systems with a strong basis in reality can’t overcome the size of the takeout.

Horse Racing System #2 – Bet horses that have an excuse for a poor performance in their last race. In most case the public seems to take a horse’s last running line at face value. I’ve identified some of the most useful handicapping factors that have a proven history of doing much better than the track takeout and put them together with some simple rules that should make your trips to the racetrack more fun and profitable. The inside post combined with early speed is a particularly potent combination, since the horse will not have to exert himself as much to gain his preferred position at the front of the pack.

This causes the favorite to be under bet in the place pool, leading to a profit opportunity for us to take advantage of by betting the favorite to place. My computer studies of pedigree, based on nearly 100,000 races, suggest that using pedigree in that manner offers no advantage to the player.. Let me let you in on a little secret about these “magic formulas”. Just don’t expect to quit your day job.

How do we identify the best pedigree, then? If you’re using the DRF past performances, use the stud fee as a proxy for quality, and the Tomlinson figure to judge suitability for the distance and surface. Most people who love horse racing would be thrilled just to win a little more and lose a little less on their trips to the track.

In that spirit. My study suggests that’s not the case.

Horse Racing System #4 – Bet low-priced favorites to place. I was able to replicate this result in my own study of nearly 100,000 races conducted a decade later.

Look for comment lines like “bled”, “lost rider”, “clipped heels”, “stumbled”, “steadied”, “between horses”, “rank”, and “jumped shadows” that suggest that a horse’s last race was not indicative of its true ability. This is somewhat counter-intuitive since you’d expect that horses with good pedigrees that end up in the maiden claiming ranks probably can’t run at all. One of the few anomalies turned up by Michael Nunamaker in his pioneering computer study “Modern Impact Values”, published in 1994, was that horses breaking from the inside post position in route races won more than their fair share of races, and were under-bet by the public.

None of these systems will make you rich, or even guarantee that you will make a profit. They will, however increase the chances of a profitable day at the races by ensuring that your wager dollars go where they have the best chance of success. If the tote board suggests that the public is overlooking these mitigating circumstances, make your play.

Horse Racing System #3 – In maiden claiming races, bet the horse with the best pedigree. My own studies have shown a similar advantage for the inside post in routes.

Looking for a dead simple horse racing system that will allow you to quit your job and make a living betting the horses in just 10 minutes a day? Good luck with that!

First time starters return only about 60 cents on the dollar, and second time starters are only a little better, returning less than 70 cents on the dollar. This offers opportunity to more diligent players.

For as long as humans have bet on horse racing there have been system sellers trying to con the gullible into parting with their hard earned money with the lure of easy profits to be made on the sport of kings. To the extent that most handicappers use pedigree at all, it’s usually to identify horses that may improve when switched to the turf, or those who may be expected to win as first time starters. It must follow, therefore, that if we bet the best horse that has started at least twice, we stand an excellent chance of beating the takeout, particularly in races that have several first and second time starters.

Horse Racing System #1 – In maiden races, bet the horse with the best last race speed figure that has had at least two career starts. This system takes advantage of one of the few glaring inefficiencies in the parimutuel pools, namely that first and second time starters are badly over-bet.

In fact, pedigree does not generally offer wager value with one curious exception: well bred horses do surprisingly well in maiden claiming races. Few bother to even look at the comment line for the race, let alone take the trouble to seek out and watch the replay of the race

A Beginners Guide To Betting On Greyhound Racing

These odds are going to determine the likelihood of a certain dog coming in a certain place through the race.

Using these two factors, greyhound racing betting sites will determine the prize that is going to be awarded. As one of the most popular types of animal racing in the world, greyhound racing betting has many different types of bets that can be made with many different types of outcomes. Many times, these prizes are outlined with the bet that is being made, allowing even beginners to determine the potential prize that is available with the bet that has been made.

Choosing between the many greyhound racing websites that are available is simple, when the reputation of the website is compared with the races and the bets that can be made.

Many online racebooks allow the bettor to take part in betting practices without actually being in the local area, as they can showcase the matches online with the use of the streaming video that can be presented to clients, allowing the clients to watch the races that are being bet on, with ease.

Using the odds and learning about the dogs and the specifics of the sport can be a great way to get into greyhound racing betting online.

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How can you determine what the prize will be once the bet has been made? The prize that will be given to the successful bettor depends on two factors; the amount that has been bet and the odds that are placed on the bet that has been made.

The important odds to consider are the first, second and third for most bets that are being made. There are often multiple dogs that are involved in the race and the bets are made on the position that the dogs are going to arrive over the finish line. Online betting sites with “racebooks” set the greyhound racing betting odds.

The odds are available through the race and are created by the sports books. It is important to realize that the odds given for the race are accurate and the odds makers have years of experience in determining the results of the race and therefore the odds should be considered accordingly.

How To Master Sports Betting

Business is business and you need to be concentrating on who is going to win regardless of who likes and who doesn’t like which team.

Information and doing your homework is important, but you don’t want to full into the trap of information overload. You will be better off for doing so in the long run.. It is only going to place you in a difficult position and as much as you might think it won’t be, your decision making ability is going to be compromised. You want to know who trained and who didn’t. It could provide great insight as to predicting what will occur.

Speaking of the long run, this is what you should be focused on. So do yourself a favor and swear off them. Thus when you are doing well, you will still be focused and when you aren’t doing so well you won’t be thinking that it’s the end of the world. It’s all about accumulating winnings. Travel is a factor such as when East Coast sides travel to the West Coast and vice versa. You don’t want to lose money just because you weren’t on top of your game.

The most important thing is that you need to take emotion out of the equation. If you are going to do it you need to do it properly and master it, it means you are completely organized and focused. Over time, you will learn what it should be that you should be paying attention to.

Because of this point, it is probably better if you steer clear from any matches involving the teams that you like. It doesn’t matter if it is pretty or not.

Sports betting is an easy way to make a tough living. Also look into how sides perform the week after doing certain travel. Upsets are always going to happen but see when it makes the most sense when to go for that and when not to. Hopefully this kind of thinking will keep you grounded. You shouldn’t favor a team because they are the team your best friend supports. Anything less than this and it is going to be a disaster. In the case of team sports, injuries are important. So if you suffer a bad break along the way, just remember it goes with the territory. This means that when you place your bets you need to be thinking clearly and concisely. For instance, if you are pretty certain that a side is going to win and they are getting good odds for this than take this. The weather conditions also make a difference as they do in horse racing. What is the point of drowning yourself in statistics and research for what you could just as easily decided with a flip of the coin? So you need to sift through it all and just take the morsels here and there which are really important and make a difference. You can’t let the highs and lows affect you too much.

Look for value bets. On the flip side, you shouldn’t bet against a team because someone you don’t like roots for that team

A Look At Horse Racing Computer Games

This is the reason why most horse racing computer games today have internet connectivity. . This is because of the fact that the sport is exciting and involves money. Although, there are some people there who want to see how the labor of the horse trainers will become fruit. Some actually look like slot machines and allow people to bet their quarters on a specific horse.

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This type of horse racing computer game puts you inside the shoes of a trainer, a jockey, or a manager.

2) Training – many horse racing computer games put the emphasis on training. Betting is an essential part of horse racing since many people are only interested in the sport because of the money. Of course, it goes without saying that you do not beat the game until you beat the other horses. People who do so either have no time or no energy to actually go to a track. You need to be able to choose your investments wisely and you need to learn how to train your horse properly in order to succeed at this horse racing computer game. Some developers actually add a lot of realism and even have features such as resource management and career profiles. Most people today go to the track in order to gamble. In many countries today, these machines are actually illegal. Of course, such races can be very big events and involve big money. Hey, you didn’t think that horse racing computer games would be free of gambling, did you?

By: Jay Schindler

Horse racing is one of the most popular spectator sports today. We cannot deny that most people who watch horse racing today do not come to observe “the behavior of the equine on an oval orbit”.

1) Betting – many horse racing video games today allow people to bet their cash on a specific video horse.

What are the different types of horse racing video games?

People who wish to test the skills of their virtual horses need only go online and race against each other. Many people today are not satisfied with the action that a conventional horse racing computer game provides.

One thing we cannot deny, however, is the fact that most sports, like horse racing is being changed by technology. Others are just video machines that owners put up in bars in order to take bets from the patrons. People who cannot go to the track today can bet, watch and win a horse race on the internet.

For tips on fish facts and shark facts, visit the Animals Facts website.

3) Internet – the internet holds the future of computer gaming. In fact, many trainers use this type of software to help guide them in taking proper care of their horse. Sometimes, it is better to test your skills as a trainer against another trainer. This horse racing computer game also places your horse in simulated races against other opponents in order to judge how well you have done. Why should you spend the energy to get all dressed for complete strangers when you can watch the race wearing shorts in your living room? In fact, technology has taken this even further and produced the horse racing computer game. This horse racing computer game takes the data from various trainers and races and tries to imitate real life. By taking care and training your virtual horse properly, you can win a lot of races in this type of horse racing video game

Sports :: How to Make Money Betting on Horse Racing

While there is no guarantee that anyone will win consistently by betting on horse races, recent developments in computer software and handicapping methods have reduced the amount of financial risk. By handicapping the horses and race conditions and studying the various mathematical models, you may make money betting on horse racing.

In addition, I suggest that you review all race results on a regular basis by studying copies of the “Daily Racing Form.” This newspaper can be instrumental in teaching you how to handicap properly and win more money. I do not use a computer software to make money on betting on horse racing. You will find that most horse racing blogs are moderated and maintained by experts who have developed reliable handicapping systems and are more than willing to share secrets with subscribers. You will also need to know how each horse performs in a variety of weather and track conditions and whether there is a synergy between the horse and a particular jockey. You will find the “Daily Racing Form” available at most newsstands, at horse racing venues and by direct-mail subscription as well as online downloads.

Make money betting on horse racing by learning how to handicap the horses properly by reading the articles on this site. In addition, many of these blogs feature online-discussion forums on which you can swap information about effective betting methods and systems.. I use “How to ‘Place Bet’ on Favorites for a Living” by Mohammed Ali. In addition, I suggest that you concentrate on only one or two race tracks every horse betting season. I spend my time knowing the Southern California race tracks

Finally, use online resources, such as TwinSpires, to make bets online and receive free tips on handicapping

You might also read online blogs about horse racing in order to make money by betting on horse racing. In addition, I suggest using a system that has been proven. In addition, track the performance of each horse and knowing whether the performance of the horse is improving with maturity or declining with age

Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

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College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

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NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

By: Manny G. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook